It looked for a while like we were going to have our first perfect week, but we were foiled by a late scoring drive by the Toronto Argonauts in their game against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, as they covered the 4.5-point opening line. Still, sitting at 11-5 after four weeks, and 4-0 on the Play of the Week, we are off to a good start.
The hardest part about this week is we only have a three-game set. This means that if we make a play on every game, we need to win two of them to reach the break-even point, unless we change it up and go with a long shot to win outright.
Calgary @ Edmonton – Part 2
Edmonton covered the spread in Calgary with a late-game field goal just a couple of weeks ago. Now, the Stamps visit the Elks for this week’s edition of Thursday Night Football.
The Elks keep getting better and getting 2.5 points, it’s tempting to take the points. But, I have to think the Stamps will find a way at home. The over/under is a bit on the higher side at 50.5. This game could go over, but the safest bet is Stamps on the money line at -175.
It’s the best bet on the board all week as far as I’m concerned, so I’m making it my Play of the Week.
Redblacks @ Roughriders
This may be the week we finally figure out if Ottawa is a contender in the East Division or not. If they can put up a better fight in green-land than the Montreal Alouettes did last week, then they should be a playoff squad.
The Riders are a seven-point favourite. That just seems way too high. I’m not sure an Eastern road team is ready to win in Saskatchewan. The o/u is 44.5, and I’m not sure either offence has convinced me they can put up those points, but this is a game where defensive or special teams’ scores may be impactful.
I’m rolling with Ottawa and the points.
Blue Bombers @ Lions – Battle of the Undefeated
This is the early season hype game. The two-times defending champs come into BC as 2.5-point underdogs.
Nathan Rourke and crew have convinced the oddsmakers. Frankly, people are now looking at the Bomber offence and asking questions. My analysis runs in a slightly different direction. I’m asking if the Bomber defence was exposed with Toronto’s second-half performance?
The over/under is 48.5. Toronto and Winnipeg put up 45. Is BC worth four points more than Toronto on offence? Okay, that is too simplistic, but it’s worth considering.
I’ve got the over. This is another game where defence and special teams could add to the point total, so I’m fairly confident 49+ points go up at BC Place this Saturday.
I’m looking at lines provided through DraftKings Sportsbook on Tuesday afternoon while making picks.
I’m obliged to say that I do at times make plays other than those I suggest. Enjoy this week’s action!
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